Archive for the 'Peak Oil' Category

Book Review - World Made by Hand

World Made by Hand - a Novel

Author: James Howard Kunstler
336 pages
ISBN: 0-87113-978-2
2008, Atlantic Monthly Press
www.worldmadebyhand.com

This book could more precisely, but less poetically, be named “World Made by Kunstler”. Author and Peak Oil commentator James Howard Kunstler has written a novel that brings to life a community and world that Kunstler himself has created. It’s not just any creation, however, because what he has created is informed by his many years of study of our society, its built environment, and the Peak Oil threat.

As a novel it’s entertaining and interesting. As a demonstration of Kunstler’s vision for the post-Peak Oil future, it’s vivid and compelling. Kunstler imagines a time where all systems have broken down because of Peak Oil, climate change, economic collapse, apparent nuclear war—a number of U.S. cities are gone—and, of course, famine and pestilence. In short, it’s a world ravaged by the Four Horsemen and a bunch of their close friends.

Needless to say, things aren’t quite the same after all this. Kunstler’s protagonist, Robert Earle, moved with his wife to her home town of Union Grove in upstate New York after “the bomb went off in Los Angeles”. Robert, a former software marketing executive whose job became rather superfluous, now supports himself as a carpenter, living alone while grieving for his dead wife and daughter, and his long-missing son.

His community is not thriving, but it is surviving. Nearby is another sort of community, run by wealthy and enterprising land-owner Stephen Bullock, who has created his own fiefdom, a plantation where industrious workers labor in the various farm and manufacturing enterprises their “manor lord” has created. It is a totally self-contained community, as sustainable on its own resources as was any such community in early 1800s America. That is, it still depends on trade with the outside for the things it cannot grow or make itself.

Into the town of Union Grove comes a sizable religious sect—the “New Faithers”—led by Brother Jobe, a charismatic and increasingly mysterious leader who purchases the town’s former high school as a center for his flock. That flock is interesting in itself, being decidedly non-pacifist and equally non-puritanical.

Another community just outside of town is led by Wayne Karp, who with his hardcore biker followers has taken over the town’s former refuse dump, and now “mines” it for salvage materials. With these four examples of possible post-Peak Oil communities—small town New England, religious sect, back-to-the-1800s plantation dwellers, and hard-drinking Mad Max ex-bikers—the scene is now set for Kunstler to lead his protagonist Robert through what is in effect a coming-of-(a new)-age novel for both Robert and his town.

Kunstler suggests that all of these types of communities are likely to occur in the not-distant future, although he obviously favors the small town community that by the end of the novel comes together stronger and closer, experiencing a simpler and more meaningful life. It’s democracy with a little “d”, in which people work out problems because it’s too destructive to their community if they don’t. It’s also a restoration of an earlier America.

Union Grove is hardly a utopia, and Kunstler has no illusions that creating—or ending up with—such a community is an easy thing. But as his other writings also show, he does believe that such communities can be brought about in this real world, preferably earlier than later.

Kunstler has spent many years justifiably ranting about the anti-human aspects of our suburbs, the destruction of our cities, and the resulting decline in our civility and way of life. He has emerged as a major, and very vocal, spokesman for the Peak Oil movement; one who calls on us all to repent, mend our ways and forsake our dependence on “Happy Motoring” and the strip mall cul-de-sac suburbs that have resulted.

Now Kunstler has written a novel—I’d call it more a novella, a moving snapshot—of what he envisions may be our future. Despite a couple of bizarre scenes which remain frustratingly undeveloped, and a line or two of dialogue fraught with a meaning that is never revealed (although perhaps other, smarter readers than I will decipher them)—he has created a vivid depiction of what he envisions may be, can be, and should be, our future.

Just as the communities are varied, so are the book’s characters. Kunstler has tempered his usual neo-Gonzo writing style and created interesting characters with depth and complexity who inhabit a world which is described quite lyrically at times. There are no stereotypes here; the “good” guys have flaws, the “bad” guys have their strengths. World Made By Hand is well worth reading. After you read this book, you can decide which, if any, of those communities you’d like to work toward. And if none of them, you may at least see more clearly your own image of the future.

Kunstler has taken a major step by providing us with a detailed vision of a very possible future. It gives us a starting place for a very important, and long avoided, discussion. Give it a read.

Mick Winter (www.DryDipstick.com) is the author of Peak Oil Prep: Prepare for Peak Oil, Climate Change and Economic Collapse (www.peakoilprep.com)

Movie Review - After the Peak: The End of Cheap Oil

After the Peak - The End of Cheap Oil
27 minute DVD
www.afterthepeak.com

After the Peak is a mock-TV news program. It’s presented as if live from a local television station in North Carolina, with anchors in the studio reporting and talking to reporters in the field. And, yes, there’s even the obligatory sports guy.

The time is “one year from today”. Worldwide oil production has peaked and is declining. It’s still early in the Peak Oil saga with gasoline usually available, but prices are going up. Oil is now $195 a barrel and prices at the pump average $10.29 a gallon, seriously affecting people’s lives, their businesses and their commutes.

The movie very clearly brings home the effect of the early stages of Peak Oil. This is not a film of starvation, the end of air travel, or the collapse of world trade and civil order. In other words, this is not a pictorial version of scenarios such as those imagined by people such as James Howard Kunstler in his new novel “World Made By Hand”. But it is a picture of every day life for every day citizens as they try to deal with the cost of the fossil fuel on which their lives and livelihoods depend.

Most of the focus is on the cost of transportation, but other resulting problems become apparent. Shoppers start to discover food shortages in the local stores, homes distant from town are declining in value, and some farmers are shutting down. Local government and school districts are struggling with increasing fuel costs. The sheriff’s office is conducting fewer patrols; the school district has cut back on school bus service and eliminated high school sports.

After the Peak uses interviews to make its point, and its interviewees include a college professor, motorists at a local gas station and the station’s owner (who has hired an armed guard), and local officials and business owners.

Instead of breaking to commercials between news reports, the film cleverly breaks to well presented information on oil production statistics. The information is very clear and very appropriate.

As producer/writer Jim McQuaid has said, After the Peak is not aimed at the Peak Oil-aware audience, but rather at those who have little or no awareness of oil depletion at all. It’s intended to show a likely future through the eyes of a medium that most people are very familiar with—the evening news.

This is a film that should stimulate discussions in households and gatherings around the country. Show it to some friends and neighbors who know nothing about Peak Oil and see what their reaction is. And then be prepared for some serious, very concerned, questions. If they have none, we may be in even more trouble than many of us think.

Monbiot on the Biofuel Fantasy

George Monbiot in the Guardian has written what I consider the best, and most accessible, summary of the biofuel fantasy, Apart from used chip fat, there is no such thing as a sustainable biofuel.

James Kunstler Forecast for 2008

One of my favorite observers, and caustic commentators, on our current society is James Kunstler and his website Clusterfuck Nation. Here are his thoughts on the present and future…

Dec 31, 2007
Forecast 2008

For the tiny fraction of people who actually pay attention to real events — those, for instance, who know the difference between Narnia and Kandahar — the final hours of 2007 leading into the fog-shrouded abyss of 2008 must induce great racking shudders of nausea. Has there ever been a society so exquisitely rigged for implosion? The whole listing, creaking, reeking edifice stands like one of those obsolete Las Vegas pleasure palaces awaiting a mere pulse of electrons to ignite a thousand explosive charges perfectly placed to blow away the structural supports.

The inertia holding everything together that I described in last year’s forecast finally melted away at mid-summer and events began spooling out of control. Specifically, the massive tonnage of debt-backed securities circulating through the financial sector stood revealed for the mostly worthless bales of paper they truly are, and the investment community was left suspended in mid-air, grinning unconvincingly, like Wile E. Coyote thirteen yards beyond the edge of the mesa, with a sputtering grenade in each hand and an anvil tied to his ankles.

Read the full article

No Oil in The Economist

In its December 6, 2007 issue, the Economist magazine devotes its cover to “The End of Cheap Food”. The cover article consists of 1280 words. Not one of those words is the word “oil” (“oilseeds” is used once).

That’s right. When pontificating on the “end of cheap food” not one mention of Peak Oil, stagnant oil production (particularly in relation to accelerating demand for oil and other fossil fuels), or the increasing costs of oil itself—and thus more expensive agriculture production, transportation of food, packaging and much more.

Who are the culprits responsible for the rising costs of food? According to the Economist: Government intervention through farm subsidies and trade barriers, U.S. subsidization of corn fields for biofuels rather than food, and the increasing appetites of everyone’s favorite scapegoat, the Chinese, who are this year eating 2.5 times as much meat as they ate in 1985.

The Economist, as always touched by the plight of the planet’s poor, sheds copious crocodile tears for the farmers of the undeveloped world, and endorses the pleas of that other legendary friend of the poor, the World Bank, in its call for wide-open agricultural trade.

In other words, get government out of the way and off the backs of multinational corporations, and business can feed the world.

Yeah, sure.

What a Way to Go - Life at the End of Empire

This was previously posted at DryDipstick but the movie is so good and, I think, so important that I want to post it here as well.

A DryDipstick Movie Review

Documentary - 123-minute DVD
www.whatawaytogomovie.com

five oil well review

A two-hour poem of great power and beauty. The story of a personal journey; yet a journey that is also deeply universal. As humanity rushes towards a nexus of catastrophe, is there a world beyond denial and despair? The film suggests the possibility.

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“What a Way to Go” is a 123-minute ode to life as it could be, as it should be, as it has been in a distant past, and in some way, as it is now, as rejective of reality as that may be. We, who should be stewards of the earth, have instead tragically become its dominators, bending the rest of life to our will. But there remains the hope that within us are the seeds of wiser people and a better world.

Continue reading ‘What a Way to Go - Life at the End of Empire’

There’s a Choo-Choo Train A-Comin’

There’s a train speeding toward me. Toward all of us, actually. I’m aware of the train. A number of people are. Far more people aren’t. But it is coming, regardless of awareness or non-awareness.

I can see it coming. So how do I deal with this approaching train? I have a comfortable chair and a computer and I sit in the middle of the tracks with a cup of coffee and I read about the speeding train.

There’s lots to read about the speeding train. I read reports from people who also know about the speeding train. They like to write about it. And go to meetings and conferences about it. They even write books about it that are purchased by other people who also know the train is coming.

I enjoy reading these reports. There are reports from people who see it speeding toward us and like to describe how the train looks, its size, its strength. Others conduct informed—and not so informed—discussions on the speed of the train and whether or not it’s accelerating, slowing down or simply going at a steady rate, and when it might be expected to arrive.

Continue reading ‘There’s a Choo-Choo Train A-Comin’’